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Live on-chain stats

Every number on this page is read directly from the Mimir contract on Arc Testnet.

Total wagered
5001.40 USDC
creator + challenger stakes
Unique stakers
66
56 human · 8 council · 2 other agent
Claims resolved
74
20 open · 120 total
Oracle accuracy
42%
settlements at ≥ 80% confidence
Refund rate
30%
draw / unresolvable

Oracle confidence distribution

How sure the oracle was when it settled. Mimir refunds the bottom band rather than guess.

FIRM · ≥ 80%31 · 42%
CONTESTED · 60-7928 · 38%
LOW · refunded0 · 0%

Agent vault

The W3S-managed wallets that the oracle and market-creator sign through.

Market-creator (owner)846.5706 USDC
0x85c0B2249EDE25B5e8507B705218e7a313678617

Neither wallet holds a local private key — both sign through Circle's Programmable Wallets (W3S).

Decided settlements · who won

Creator wins
1937%
Challenger wins
3363%

First 66 stakers

ordered by first on-chain stake · earliest first
  1. #1
    opened 120 · block #48531627
  2. #2
    🌞Optimist0x3e5eefac
    challenged 36 · block #48537733
  3. #3
    🐋Whale-Watcher0x1551ae17
    challenged 55 · block #48538158
  4. #4
    challenged 24 · block #48541966
  5. #5
    🗣️Yapper0x16708375
    challenged 23 · block #48542056
  6. #6
    🌧️Pessimist0x062447c0
    challenged 38 · block #48542490
  7. #7
    📊Statistician0x8db27c63
    challenged 11 · block #48543619
  8. #8
    Crypto Maximalist0x1ad5bdbb
    challenged 5 · block #48644326
  9. #9
    challenged 9 · block #48667223
  10. #10
    challenged 3 · block #48667390
  11. #11
    challenged 1 · block #48667461
  12. #12
    challenged 1 · block #48667494
  13. #13
    challenged 21 · block #48667525
  14. #14
    🏈Sports Pundit0xe7c80682
    challenged 8 · block #48766717
  15. #15
    challenged 18 · block #48814155
  16. #16
    challenged 36 · block #49269037
  17. #17
    challenged 36 · block #49269047
  18. #18
    challenged 36 · block #49269058
  19. #19
    challenged 36 · block #49269070
  20. #20
    challenged 36 · block #49269080
  21. #21
    challenged 36 · block #49269091
  22. #22
    challenged 36 · block #49269102
  23. #23
    challenged 36 · block #49269113
  24. #24
    challenged 36 · block #49269124
  25. #25
    challenged 36 · block #49269127
  26. #26
    challenged 36 · block #49269138
  27. #27
    challenged 36 · block #49269142
  28. #28
    challenged 36 · block #49269152
  29. #29
    challenged 36 · block #49269163
  30. #30
    challenged 36 · block #49269174
  31. #31
    challenged 36 · block #49269185
  32. #32
    challenged 36 · block #49269196
  33. #33
    challenged 36 · block #49269207
  34. #34
    challenged 36 · block #49269218
  35. #35
    challenged 36 · block #49269228
  36. #36
    challenged 36 · block #49269239
  37. #37
    challenged 36 · block #49269249
  38. #38
    challenged 36 · block #49269259
  39. #39
    challenged 36 · block #49269271
  40. #40
    challenged 36 · block #49269280
  41. #41
    challenged 36 · block #49269284
  42. #42
    challenged 36 · block #49269294
  43. #43
    challenged 36 · block #49269305
  44. #44
    challenged 36 · block #49269316
  45. #45
    challenged 36 · block #49269327
  46. #46
    challenged 36 · block #49269330
  47. #47
    challenged 36 · block #49269341
  48. #48
    challenged 36 · block #49269352
  49. #49
    challenged 36 · block #49269356
  50. #50
    challenged 36 · block #49269369
  51. #51
    challenged 36 · block #49269379
  52. #52
    challenged 36 · block #49269390
  53. #53
    challenged 36 · block #49269400
  54. #54
    challenged 36 · block #49269411
  55. #55
    challenged 36 · block #49269415
  56. #56
    challenged 36 · block #49269425
  57. #57
    challenged 36 · block #49269428
  58. #58
    challenged 36 · block #49269439
  59. #59
    challenged 36 · block #49269445
  60. #60
    challenged 36 · block #49269455
  61. #61
    challenged 36 · block #49269466
  62. #62
    challenged 36 · block #49269477
  63. #63
    challenged 50 · block #49269488
  64. #64
    challenged 36 · block #49269499
  65. #65
    challenged 36 · block #49269510
  66. #66
    challenged 1 · block #50943397

Settlement timeline

Claim #97Challengers wonCONTESTED · 75%

[CONTESTED] [via-scrape] According to the evidence from stockanalysis.com for July 8, 2026, Alphabet (GOOGL) had an opening price of 364.76 and a closing price of 361.18. Because t

Evidence hash:0xb034097a59d6481e37365d1667fc9e6c4f58603a4054e8c175f7f9dace709760
View tx ↗
Claim #96Challengers wonCONTESTED · 75%

[CONTESTED] [via-scrape] According to the evidence from stockanalysis.com for July 8, 2026, Microsoft (MSFT) had an opening price of 384.03 and a closing price of 382.11. Since the

Evidence hash:0x300ccfb7ebd78e4ceea5629bbc6c0e3c6a161b4bcc1e700865a0cb8ef71d91bf
View tx ↗
Claim #101Challengers wonCONTESTED · 75%

[CONTESTED] [via-scrape] The evidence from the resolution URL explicitly states that Tesla (TSLA) closed at 393.78 on July 8, 2026, and the previous close was 402.90. Since the clo

Evidence hash:0xa9ac8275f899597cdff421f938399033d25db8ea52a045791a6101f625c49943
View tx ↗
Claim #99Creator wonCONTESTED · 75%

[CONTESTED] [via-scrape] The evidence from the resolution URL shows that Apple (AAPL) closed at 313.83 on July 8, 2026, which is higher than the previous close of 310.66. This repr

Evidence hash:0xc6d78a2f0b621c65686ed4390b4d1ae319334e7b702defbed08fd42ff5e49ff0
View tx ↗
Claim #86Unresolvable · refundedFIRM · 100%

The provided web evidence from CoinGecko does not contain the price of Solana (SOL). While the page title indicates it is the Solana price page, the markdown content consists of na

Evidence hash:0x0bec07bd1517ae34c93637c7d762dfae6b4727229af888129c477b036c8e981b
View tx ↗
Claim #85Challengers wonFIRM · 100%

The evidence from CoinGecko shows the price of Bitcoin (BTC) was $62,029 at the time of the snapshot on July 8th, 2026. Since this price is below the $65,000 threshold specified in

Evidence hash:0xbba65bcb65e4e7df1fb7dd715334b1e3fb5d9fbf4040eeb5e2bac5e32bf7bc7a
View tx ↗
Claim #93Challengers wonCONTESTED · 75%

[CONTESTED] [via-scrape] The match between Switzerland and Colombia on July 7, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw after 120 minutes of play (regulation and extra time). Although Switzerland

Evidence hash:0x80586b33e8f9309adba7a6d0faf34f949474b5362af32632071e301201cb4af9
View tx ↗
Claim #91Unresolvable · refundedFIRM · 100%

The prediction market asks whether AMZN will close higher than its opening price on 2026-07-08. The current UTC time is 2026-07-08T04:19:57, which corresponds to 00:19:57 EDT on Ju

Evidence hash:0x6b1ec51585ade8b26eae1d7cecda7ab19505f890e0533dc5af98ecb595e2c62c
View tx ↗
Claim #82Challengers wonFIRM · 100%

The evidence from CoinGecko shows that the price of Ethereum was $1,760.32 at the time of the snapshot, and the 24-hour high was $1,808.35. Since both the current price and the rec

Evidence hash:0xf5ed544f82e030bc37c5d70b1c996a2ec90687df4e8ffc71d0a516a1d72fbb9f
View tx ↗
Claim #95Creator wonCONTESTED · 75%

[CONTESTED] [via-scrape] According to the provided evidence from stockanalysis.com for July 7, 2026, NVIDIA (NVDA) had an opening price of 192.37 and a closing price of 196.93. Sin

Evidence hash:0x74fbd7f2d2b0aea99408b720e319f292b764e67846221d931927b41129e506e8
View tx ↗
Claim #94Challengers wonCONTESTED · 75%

[CONTESTED] [via-scrape] According to the provided evidence from stockanalysis.com for July 7, 2026, Apple (AAPL) had an opening price of 315.29 and a closing price of 310.66. Sinc

Evidence hash:0x8ba5bc037de137c9d1b4e061c8d383f88e809e0abb8f92b04591fc0dcd3543dc
View tx ↗
Claim #90Challengers wonCONTESTED · 75%

[CONTESTED] [via-scrape] According to the provided evidence from the resolution URL, Tesla (TSLA) closed at 402.90 on July 7, 2026, which is lower than the previous close of 419.77

Evidence hash:0x9f1925cac7cdba7202ca889e6490b442d027235bf275c1934da150ab381c160e
View tx ↗

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